Posts by Kirill Zagalsky

November 13, 2019 |

Forget Price. It’s Time to Buy 

forget price

The gold market continues to languish below the psychologically key $1500 level. The market, while having several long-term significant bullish catalysts, seems to be lacking a fresh, short-term bullish force that could take prices beyond the $1500 level to stay. Given the last few weeks and gold’s lack of follow through, many investors may currently be asking:  “What’s the problem?” In short, there does not appear to be any type of problem. Sometimes, good things simply take time. That’s all.  That is also why you... Continue Reading

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November 6, 2019 |

Big Picture Is Bullish

the big picture

The gold market is working hard today to recover some of yesterday’s declines. Oddly enough, the yellow metal is stronger even as stocks are also moving mostly sideways today. Although this may come as a significant surprise to many, it really shouldn’t. The gold market could very well move higher along with stocks in the weeks and months ahead. The U.S. Fed recently suggested that it would not look to hike rates again until there is a pickup in inflationary pressures. The central bank has... Continue Reading

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November 1, 2019 |

More Trouble Ahead

More Trouble Ahead

The gold/copper ratio reached its highest level in three years in the third quarter, in what could potentially be a signal for price movement in the year or even years ahead. The World Bank recently, according to Kitco, said that the price of gold is likely to push back towards the $1600 region. There are numerous potential reasons for gold to push higher as copper and base metals push lower or remain stagnant. In fact, a price of $1600 per ounce represents a less-than six... Continue Reading

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October 29, 2019 |

All-Time Highs May Weigh

all-time

The gold market, is often the case, has numerous, major implications working both for and against it. To start the new trading week, the market is having to grapple with fresh all-time highs in stocks. It’s really no surprise that fresh equity all-time highs might act as a downward pressure on gold and other hard asset prices. Investors are drinking the Kool-Aid currently, and word that “Phase 1” of a U.S./China trade deal is almost ready for signatures is playing with people’s emotions. Despite the... Continue Reading

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October 17, 2019 |

The Next Major Breakout is Brewing

breakout is brewing

The gold bulls have not had much to cheer about in recent weeks. After hitting a multi-year high, the market has eased back and seemingly entered a consolidation phase. The last several weeks have seen prices trade around the $1500 region, and although prices are currently below this support level, they have not seen a significant leg lower. The lack of upside in recent weeks is actually a positive thing, not a negative. The next major breakout is brewing. After reaching multi-year highs in recent... Continue Reading

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October 11, 2019 |

You Can’t Afford to Wait

you can't afford to wait

Stock markets are sharply higher today as hopes for a U.S./China trade deal appear to be on the rise. The ongoing trade war has been a source of market volatility and significant shifts in sentiment for several months now. Although a deal may boost stocks in the short-term, there are still many major hurdles to an ongoing stock bull market. In fact, given the age of the bull market and the state of the global economy, the market is far more likely to be at... Continue Reading

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October 7, 2019 |

Another Blow for the Dollar

Another blow to the dollar

The dollar is getting dumped by one of the globe’s largest oil producers and exporters. Russia’s Rosneft has decided that it will ditch the dollar in favor of euros for all deals going forward. The switch could potentially limit the effects of any sanctions imposed by the U.S. The company is Russia’s largest oil company, exporting some 120 million tons per year. The company’s move to euros is likely a direct response to threats of U.S. sanctions for its re-selling of Venezuela’s oil to Asian... Continue Reading

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October 1, 2019 |

Manufacturing is Not Looking Good

Oil pipes

Stocks are sharply lower today as another key piece of economic data shows significant weakness. The latest reading of the ISM Manufacturing is not looking good. It showed a drop to 47.8% from a reading last month of 49.1%. This reading marks the lowest level since June 2009, when the Great Recession ended. Consensus estimates were looking for a reading of 50.2%. The decline in activity is significant. Readings above 50 show expansion while readings below 50 show contraction. Only three of 18 sectors tracked... Continue Reading

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September 25, 2019 |

Buy the Dips

the dips

The gold market has seen some solid buying in recent weeks and has recently been taking a bit of a breather. The market has pulled back from its recent highs, and in early action today is seeing a retest of the $1500 level on the chart. A significant price dip is not only necessary at this point, but healthy as well. Markets do not typically go straight up or straight down, and the gold market is no exception with the dips. The market has been... Continue Reading

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September 19, 2019 |

A Divided Fed

a divided fed

The Federal Reserve elected to cut interest rates again by 25-basis points at the conclusion of its meeting this week. The committee voted in favor of the cut by a margin of 7-3. The split may have been more than markets anticipated, and the Fed’s commentary was deemed to be not so easy when it comes to monetary policy. 7 of 17 FOMC members expect just one more rate cut this year. The not so dovish meeting sent stocks lower initially before they recovered. The... Continue Reading

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