Is a Major Currency Debasement Ahead?

The U.S. Fed and other global central banks are in the process of easing monetary policies again. Although interest rates got nowhere near previous levels during the Fed’s recent tightening cycle, the central bank has decided that it is time to start cutting again. The Fed is not cutting from only 2.5% instead of 5.5%, however. The ECB tomorrow will present its latest plans to boost the region’s economy which will likely include a bazooka of rate cuts and fresh QE. Other central banks are... Continue Reading

Rapid Inflation Could Be Next

There has been no shortage of issues for global financial markets to contend with in recent months. An aging economic expansion and equity bull market, an accelerating global economic slowdown and the ongoing U.S./China trade war have been at the center of attention. At some point, the economic expansion and bull market in stocks will have run its course, as they always do. Likewise, the war on trade may not go on indefinitely, as it is in the best interest of both sides to come... Continue Reading

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Fed Still on Track to Cut

The highly anticipated jobs report for August showed the U.S. added just 130,000 jobs, a significant downside miss from expectations for 150,000 new jobs added. The unemployment rate was steady at 3.7 percent. This figure looks especially weak compared to the ADP employment report released earlier in the week, which showed a gain of 195,000 jobs when market expectations were looking for 140,000 jobs. The jobs data falls into the camp of the policy doves who want to see further rate cuts. The Fed will... Continue Reading

Don’t Wait Any Longer

In early action on Tuesday, the gold market is once again on the offensive and moving higher. As the Dow Jones Industrial Average see a drop of nearly 400 points, the yellow metal is up nearly $15 per-ounce. A test of resistance in the $1600 region looks very likely in the sessions ahead. With stocks potentially on the verge of a major meltdown and gold potentially headed back to all-time highs or beyond, you simply cannot afford to wait any longer. The time to start... Continue Reading

Appetite For Risk

The stock market has put together a decent run over the past week as investor appetite for risk has seen an uptick. Some optimistic commentary about the ongoing U.S./China trade war is the primary catalyst for equity gains this week, and investors are hoping that some significant progress may be made at the negotiating table in the weeks ahead. The stock market has a tendency to turn on a dime, however, and any negative developments concerning the trade war could send stocks sharply lower again... Continue Reading

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Markets Can’t Have Cake and Eat it Too

The phrase “have your cake and eat it too” is commonly used to describe a situation in which people want the best of both worlds, or perhaps want to have two or more things that are incompatible. It can also be used to describe when people want more than what might be considered reasonable. The phrase simply alludes to the fact that you cannot have your cake and eat it too. Once you have eaten the cake, you can no longer have it. This is... Continue Reading

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The Stage is Set

The gold market remains on the offensive today even as stocks try to recover some of last week’s declines. The stage is set, as the market continues to put distance between current price and the $1500 level and could make a significant run at $1700 or higher in the next few weeks. The buying frenzy in gold is being stoked by several factors that will likely keep the market moving higher. Here are three reasons why gold is likely to continue its recent ascent and... Continue Reading

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Central Banks Are Still Buying

The recent central bank buying spree looks set to continue. It was reported that Russia’s central bank purchased another 300,000 ounces of gold in July after topping the $100 billion reserve level the month before. The latest figures reportedly show Russia’s gold reserves now stand at nearly 20 percent of its total reserves. The nation has purchased nearly 3.5 million ounces so far this year and has been a consistent buyer on a monthly basis. Russia’s gold reserves have now increased nearly 10-fold over the... Continue Reading

Building a New Base

The gold market has seen a bit of a pullback from recent 6-year highs. The metal dipped under the $1500 level yesterday before bargain hunters stepped in today to propel the market back above this key level. Recent price action suggests that the market may be in the process of building a new base which could potentially act as a new, major level of price support.  A series of higher lows also lends credibility to the notion that a firm uptrend is in place. Recent... Continue Reading

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Has the Next Race to the Bottom Begun?

There is certainly no shortage of complex issues plaguing global financial markets currently. The ongoing U.S./China trade war and recent unrest in Hong Kong have fueled a sharp rise in market volatility in recent sessions, and that volatility expansion could potentially be indicative of a long-term topping process in stocks. Has the next race to the bottom begun? Global central banks appear willing to ride to the rescue once again, however, and could take significant measures to combat the accelerating global economic slowdown. The U.S.... Continue Reading

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