Posts by Kirill Zagalsky

Just a Few Things to Consider

Stocks have remained amazingly resilient in recent months, and the current rally in the S&P500 is now the longest on record. Make no mistake, however, the party will not likely go on indefinitely. Indeed, there are numerous issues currently at play that could cause a massive drop in equity markets while sparking what could be the greatest increase in volatility of all-time. Although gold has been on the defensive in recent months, its weakness is likely in direct correlation to higher stocks and increasing economic... Continue Reading

The Bottom May Be At Hand

Recent declines in the gold market have left investors wondering just how far the metal may fall before finding a bottom. Investors may not have to wonder much longer. The market could very well be at or near a long-term bottom, and price action over the next several days could be very telling. A possible bottom in the gold market could come at an interesting time. Stocks have been seeing some increasing volatility and a potential top in equities could also be in the works.... Continue Reading

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Could the Market Be Readying for A Major Rally?

As the summer trading doldrums continue, the gold market has not seen much excitement. The market has, however, dipped down near the $1200 level on several occasions before snapping back by several dollars per ounce. The market seemingly has plenty of reasons to be testing the $1200 level and perhaps even breaking down below it, but thus far it has failed to do so. Could this be an indication of a bottoming process? Although things may not really begin to heat up again until next... Continue Reading

The Risk of Recession is Rising

The gold market has been quiet as a lack of any fresh, bullish catalysts combined with low summer trading volumes takes a toll. Despite higher stocks, a stronger dollar and a robust appetite for risk, however, the yellow metal could potentially find a bottom any time now. Although current market dynamics may not be seen as being bullish for gold, those very dynamics that are currently weighing on gold could potentially change, and change quickly. Underneath all of the current economic optimism, risk appetite and... Continue Reading

Will The Fed Provide More Clarity?

The Federal Reserve is set to complete its latest policy meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Although no action is expected from the central bank at this meeting, the markets are expecting the bank to reiterate its previous stance. The next action from the Fed is very likely to occur in September, with another possible hike later in the year. Some have recently, however, called into question the need for another two hikes this year. Recent data suggest that the U.S. economy is humming along nicely, and... Continue Reading

The Hits Keep on Coming

The gold market has remained under some renewed pressure, as slow summer trading conditions as well as a lack of risk aversion continue to take a toll on the metal. With so many issues currently working against the market, it is not surprising that prices have thus far been unable to rally. The dollar index has played a huge role in gold’s lack of upside in recent months. The greenback is hovering around a 12-month high still, and has thus far not shown any real... Continue Reading

Could This Be the Market’s Undoing?

There is no shortage of potential headwinds when it comes to stocks. The potential for a larger war over trade, a stronger dollar, higher inflation and a more hawkish Fed could all potentially weigh on equities and risk assets. There is another issue currently at work, however, that could possibly prove to be the catalyst for an end to the bull run in stocks. This issue is likely unknown to the majority of investors, but could play a powerful role in the stock market’s demise.... Continue Reading

Watch the Yield Curve

Investors and global financial markets have done a fantastic job of remaining optimistic despite numerous potential headwinds. Ongoing tensions over global trade, higher oil prices and rising interest rates are just a few of the major issues that markets are contending with. There is something else happening behind the scenes, however, that could point to major troubles ahead. The flattening of the yield curve is becoming more and more a cause for concern, and the idea of the curve becoming inverted is a distinct possibility.... Continue Reading

Is a Full-Blown Depression in the Cards?

As investors await the latest FOMC meeting minutes, the ongoing battle over global trade remains at the forefront of attention. China, the EU, the U.S. and other regions thus far appear determined to dig in and try to hold their ground as tensions over trade escalate further. The current tit-for-tat exchanges of tariffs could be only the beginning, with even larger measures potentially being implemented. Although the opinions are quite varied as to how a global trade war could play out, such a scenario could... Continue Reading

Will Stocks Force a Retirement Crisis?

Although stocks have shown some signs of trouble in recent sessions, the market has been quite resilient in recent months. Volatility remains at subdued levels, and while there may be whiff of selling in the air, the bears have yet to really show their teeth. The aging bull market will at some point make its final high-if it hasn’t done so already. Not only that, but the economy is likely to slow significantly in the quarters ahead, and the next major recession could be seen... Continue Reading