Active Buyers Follow the Money

According to a recent report from Financial Times, the People’s Bank of China has continued to add gold to its reserves for the fifth month in a row. The central bank reportedly added 480,000 ounces last month bringing its total holdings to $78.3 billion. China hasn’t been the only buyer of the metal either. Numerous emerging market central banks have been active buyers as nations seek to diversify their reserves away from the dollar. Last year, central banks reportedly bought some $27 billion worth of... Continue Reading

A Prime Example- Volatility Spike

Over the weekend: President Trump alluded to a breakdown in ongoing U.S./China trade negotiations. The U.S. is now set to impose further tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods, taking the current rate of 10 percent up to 25 percent. Talks were scheduled to continue this week in Washington, although it is now unclear if scheduled meetings will take place. Markets are on edge over the news, as stocks had seemingly priced in a deal being done in the coming weeks. Volatility Spike: Today, the... Continue Reading

Key Divergences Point to Higher Gold

Following some recent declines, the gold market has not accomplished much thus far in 2019. Although many of the so-called “experts” may pounce on this fact, we see it as a significant positive for the market. Not only is it a positive, but it could potentially be indicative of a major rally on the horizon. Here’s why we can count on gold resilience: Gold has endured a stronger dollar: Typically, the dollar and gold have a negative correlation. That is to say that when the... Continue Reading

Why Buying Big on Dips Can Pay Off

The gold market has seen some significant dips in recent weeks. The market’s lack of upside follow-through combined with a breakdown below previous support levels has some pundits looking for further downside. As discussed in a recent post, large declines should not be feared but rather welcomed. A simple yet powerful strategy may look to buy heavier on any significant dips in price – say 5% or more. Although adding ounces on a regular basis is a great thing, buying heavier on such dips can... Continue Reading

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Cut Out the Noise from the Financial Media

Investors currently have a lot to digest and the financial media hasn’t helped. Stocks are in melt-up mode as earnings thus far have been strong and as key benchmarks carve out fresh all-time highs. The dollar has also followed suit and could potentially be headed for another leg higher. Risk appetite is strong while market volatility continues to probe lower. Financial Media Hyping Gold Declines As far as gold goes, there has been considerable talk of how it has been “broken” technically. The 200-day moving... Continue Reading

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Has the Dollar Peaked?

The stronger dollar has likely been a major factor in gold’s lack of upside follow-through in recent months. The currency hit its highest level of the year last week but is seeing a mild pullback today in early action. The greenback’s strength is not really all that surprising – it has benefitted from concerns over global growth and interest rate differentials. The Dollar Is Near a Top… The dollar may be at or near a top, however, and could soon see a significant price reversal.... Continue Reading

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Lower Prices Not to Be Feared

The gold market has been under pressure in recent days, and prices are trading at their lowest point of the year. Numerous “analysts” have already covered gold’s fall through support in the $1280-$1290 region and have suggested that lower prices may be in store. For the patient, long-term investor, this is a positive that should be welcomed. The notion of buy low, sell high is not new and has served investors well for ages. Are You Considering Lower Prices or Good Value? Long-term investors should... Continue Reading

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Why the Dollar Is Overvalued

The U.S. dollar has been on the stronger side of the ledger in recent months. There are numerous factors at work that have kept the greenback moving higher, including strong U.S.  economic data and weakness in other regions. Creeping Weakness Affecting the Dollar Recent months have seen some significant weakness creep into the U.S. data stream, however, and China has been reporting some serious weakness of its own. The dollar has likely enjoyed the benefits of weaker growth in emerging markets and the fear of... Continue Reading

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Surprise, Surprise… The Fed Is Stuck

Wednesday afternoon brought the release of the latest Fed meeting minutes. The minutes detailed what some analysts already knew: The central bank is on hold for the rest of the year and will not raise rates further. The Central Bank Is on Hold for 2019 Numerous Issues Cited by the Fed The Fed cited numerous issues that weighed in its decision: A general unease over the U.S. and global economies, the ongoing trade war with China, a lack of inflation and a messy Brexit. Fed... Continue Reading

Does the Fed’s About Face Mean QE4 Is in the Cards?

Could quantitative easing be in our future? QE4 could be just around the corner… The notion of a global slowdown has been widely covered by the financial media in recent months. Weakness in key areas such as manufacturing has been seen in both China and the U.S. The Eurozone is seeing its own struggles as well, with Italy already in recession and Germany perhaps on its way. The slowing global economy has led the U.S. Fed to do a major about-face in recent weeks. It... Continue Reading